Two new Westminster voting-intention polls put Labour ahead of its rivals, with Survation recording a six-point lead over Reform UK and More in Common placing the Conservatives narrowly ahead of Reform.
Survation's poll, conducted on 29 September, puts Labour on 29%, up two points from its previous survey. Reform is on 23%, down one point, while the Conservatives are on 19%, down two. The Liberal Democrats and Greens are both on 9%. (x.com)
A separate More in Common poll, conducted from 25 to 29 September, puts Labour on 27%, up one point, followed by the Conservatives on 22%, down one, and Reform on 21%, also down one. The Liberal Democrats are on 11% and the Greens on 9%. More in Common's Luke Tryl said Reform's figure was its lowest in more than 18 months in that polling series. (x.com)
The surveys agree that Labour is in first place, but differ on the order of the next two parties. That is a reminder that individual polls are estimates, not election results, and that their figures should not be combined into a single ranking.
The fieldwork overlapped Labour's conference in Liverpool and, in Survation's case, fell on the day Prime Minister Andy Burnham delivered his keynote speech. The results offer an encouraging snapshot for Labour as conference ends, but do not show whether the speech changed voters' minds. More polling will be needed to establish whether the lead lasts.
Survation's published chart gives an unweighted total sample of 1,283 and a weighted total of 1,319 for its voting-intention figures. More in Common's poll surveyed 2,041 people. Changes quoted above are against each pollster's own previous survey, not against the other poll.
